SIR Epidemic

continuous-flows · 37 views
continuous-flowsstochastic

What It Is

Stochastic SIRS model (waning immunity) --- recurrent infection waves with exponential rise, peak, and exponential decay

Interpretation

Standard analysis sees: heavy-tailed; smooth / autocorrelated; long-range memory (persistent); volatility-clustering (bursty); nonstationary / drifting. The atlas additionally detects Higher-Order Statistics:c3_energy.

What standard analysis sees
tail heaviness0.89
asymmetry0.85
occupancy0.42
short-range corr0.87
long-range memory0.93
spectral colour0.20
periodicity0.73
complexity0.58
time-irreversibility0.78
volatility clustering0.90
multifractality0.43
dimensionality0.25
nonstationarity0.99
What the atlas adds
Higher-Order Statistics:c3_energy+4.2z
third-cumulant burst energy (SOC irreducibility signature)
Atlas-extreme metrics the standard bank can’t predict for this source
G2 Root System:pair_angle_kurtosis+8.2zbank-miss 1.0σ
Moiré:moire_integer_excess-3.5zbank-miss 1.5σ
Navier-Stokes:cascade_asymmetry+3.2zbank-miss 1.7σ
Isochronicity:amplitude_exploration+2.7zbank-miss 1.9σ

Composition

dtypefloat64
range[0, 8.244]
unique values628 / 16384
mean ± std0.417 ± 1.42

Render Gallery

Atlas Position

Nearest neighborDistance
Barometric Pressure (Buoy)3.74cross-origin
Pressure3.90cross-origin
Seismic b-value (SoCal)4.03cross-origin

Open in Atlas →

Which Geometries Light Up

Catch24Catch24:DN_OutlierInclude_n_001_mdrmdrank 307/307-0.8051
Catch24Catch24:DN_OutlierInclude_p_001_mdrmdrank 307/307-0.9744
H² × ℝ (Thurston)H² × ℝ (Thurston):hyperbolic_step_dispersionrank 303/3070.0387
IsochronicityIsochronicity:amplitude_explorationrank 4/3071.2620
MoiréMoiré:moire_integer_excessrank 305/307-0.3921
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