SIR Epidemic

continuous-flows · 37 views
continuous-flowsstochastic

What It Is

Stochastic SIRS model (waning immunity) --- recurrent infection waves with exponential rise, peak, and exponential decay

Interpretation

Standard analysis sees: heavy-tailed; right-skewed; smooth / autocorrelated; long-range memory (persistent); time-irreversible (sharp rises, slow decay); volatility-clustering (bursty); nonstationary / drifting. The atlas additionally detects Higher-Order Statistics:c3_energy. It sits beside Seismic b-value (SoCal) in the atlas (standard-bank rank 23) — a neighbor conventional features miss.

What standard analysis sees
tail heaviness0.93
asymmetry0.96
occupancy0.32
short-range corr0.90
long-range memory0.93
spectral colour0.21
periodicity0.65
complexity0.60
time-irreversibility0.87
volatility clustering0.91
multifractality0.59
dimensionality0.30
nonstationarity0.99
What the atlas adds
Higher-Order Statistics:c3_energy+4.3z
third-cumulant burst energy (SOC irreducibility signature)
Atlas-extreme metrics the standard bank can’t predict for this source
Moiré:moire_integer_excess-3.5zbank-miss 1.2σ
Navier-Stokes:cascade_asymmetry+3.2zbank-miss 1.2σ
Isochronicity:amplitude_exploration+2.8zbank-miss 2.1σ
Wasserstein:distributional_stationarity-2.7zbank-miss 1.3σ

Composition

dtypefloat64
range[0, 8.244]
unique values628 / 16384
mean ± std0.417 ± 1.42

Render Gallery

Atlas Position

Nearest neighborDistance
Barometric Pressure (Buoy)3.73cross-origin
Pressure3.90cross-origin
Seismic b-value (SoCal)4.04cross-origin

Open in Atlas →

Which Geometries Light Up

Catch24 › Catch24:DN_OutlierInclude_n_001_mdrmdrank 306/306-0.8051
Catch24 › Catch24:DN_OutlierInclude_p_001_mdrmdrank 306/306-0.9744
H² × ℝ (Thurston) › H² × ℝ (Thurston):hyperbolic_step_dispersionrank 302/3060.0387
Isochronicity › Isochronicity:amplitude_explorationrank 4/3061.2620
Moiré › Moiré:moire_integer_excessrank 304/306-0.3921
in signal-synthesis
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